People's Democracy(Weekly Organ of the Communist Party of India (Marxist) |
Vol. XXXV
No.
27 July 03, 2011 |
From 2G to KG:
Where Does
the Buck Stop?
Dipankar
Mukherjee
THE
government of the day does not own the natural gas from Krishna
Godavari (KG)
basin. It is a natural resource owned by the people of this country and
the government
is only the trustee. National resources are owned by the doctrine of
public
trust as held by the Supreme Court. Natural gas being one of the main
sources
of energy for production of power and fertilizer, higher price of gas
means
higher tariff from gas-based power plants and higher fertilizer
subsidy. That
is why the recently revealed CAG’s draft report very correctly
categorises the
loss on KG gas scam as “unquantifiable” unlike 2G scam where the
quantification
is more specific to the tune of Rs 1.76 lakh crore.
But
the most glaring difference between these two cases is on the issue of
accountability i.e. where does the buck stop in the KG gas scam? Let
the facts
speak for themselves.
GENESIS
OF
THE
CASE
Till
recently gas production and marketing was entirely with the public
sector and
pricing was administered. This was opened up for private participation
in the
nineties. The New Exploration and Licensing Policy (NELP) was announced
in 1997
and M/s RIL was awarded the contract in the first NELP round for
operating KG
basin, which has
CAG’s
draft report has actually vindicated one of the two major charges
leveled by
CPI(M) MPs against government-RIL nexus on KG gas viz the “gold
plating” or
“manipulating the development cost of the gas fields”. The other charge
was
regarding high price of Reliance gas @ 4.2 USD/unit fixed up in 2007 by
an
Empowered Group of Ministers, in spite of the fact that actual
production cost of
KG gas was 1.43 USD/unit, the APM cost of ONGC was 1.83 USD and most
shockingly
RIL itself had quoted 2.34 USD/unit to M/s NTPC, the Maharatna PSU, in
response
to an international competitive bidding in 2004. This issue of pricing
of gas
has not been dealt in CAG’s Draft report.
CHRONOLOGY
OF
EVENTS
I.
The
question was first raised in Rajya Sabha on December 12, 2006 by CPI(M)
MPs late Chittabrata Majumdar and Tapan Sen. The government informed
that M/s
RIL-Niko consortium had submitted a development plan that envisaged
increase in
production from 40 to 80 mmscmd and increase in expenditure from 2.47
billion
dollar to 8.84 billion dollar. It was immediately pointed out in a
letter dated
21.12.2006 to minister of petroleum and natural gas by Tapan Sen, MP
and a
member of Standing Committee of Petroleum and Natural Gas that the
expenditure
per unit of production, which should come down with the increase in
production
due to economy of scale, had been inflated abnormally, warranting
immediate
intervention by the government.
II.
This
was followed up with three letters dated 25.01.2007, 27.02.2007 and
12.03.2007. On April 30, 2007 a detailed letter was again sent to
minister of petroleum
and natural gas with copy to the prime minister about the likely impact
of gold
plating on price of natural gas. On 15.05.2007 in reply to a question
in parliament,
it was informed by the government that the revised capital investment
has been
approved by DGH.
III.
Three
more letters dated 11.6.2007, 4.7.2007 and 13.7.2007 were sent by Tapan
Sen to the prime minister directly for his intervention to stop
gold plating
and ensure that the price of natural gas is not arbitrarily increased.
No
action was taken other than mere acknowledgement of letters.
IV.
The
prime minister
and his office swung into action only when the then chief minister of
Andhra
Pradesh late Y S Rajasekhar Reddy raised a number of issues on KG basin
gas,
including the gold plating and pricing of gas in a series of three
letters
dated 16th, 29th & 30th June 2007.
Some of
issues raised by Reddy were common viz
a)
The proposed
market discovery price
of natural gas produced from KG basin
@ $ 4.5 to $ 5/MMBTU
would mean an increase of 256 per cent from the present APM
prices.
b)
RIL
has
obtained bids from consumers with stranded assets and claim this to be
market
driven price forgetting its own bid to NTPC. This bid should
be treated as market price because this price came through global
competitive
bidding.
c)
The
government
should monitor the
investment by the contractors and have it
scrutinized by independent and autonomous
authority so that costs are not unduly inflated.
d)
It
will also
be necessary to constitute an independent autonomous regulatory
authority to
decide upstream pricing of gas.
V.
PM/PMO
immediately
referred these letters to a Committee of Secretaries headed by cabinet
secretary
which was assigned to give report on issues related to supply and
pricing of
gas.
This
raises an immediate question – why did the PM/PMO selectively choose to
refer only
the three letters written by Andhra Pradesh CM to the Committee of
Secretaries
ignoring the letters from an MP, that too an MP who was a member of
Parliamentary Standing Committee on Petroleum and Natural Gas? Were
these
letters that contained several facts and figures ignored only because
he was
neither a Congressman nor someone from civil society? Who is
responsible for this
sidelining of a people’s representative in parliament?
REPORT
OF THE
CABINET
SECRETARY
The
Committees of Secretaries met on 29.6.2007, 2.7.2007, 6.7.2007 and
10.7.2007.
And on development cost of the gas field, as per available information,
the cabinet
secretary reported:
‘The
accountability of Management
Committee mechanism for approval of various costs needs to be enhanced.
For
this purpose, Ministry of Petroleum & Natural Gas would draw up
guidelines
and mechanisms with the approval of the government as large amounts of
government
revenue in profit share are involved. Effective audit mechanisms
through
C&AG or other reputed agencies would be put in place. It is noted
here that
under Article 25.5, “The government shall
have the right to audit the accounting records of the contractor in
respect of
petroleum operations in the accounting procedure.” The government
must, in
consultation with the CAG, appoint an international auditor who has
sufficient
experience in the field of oil exploration and production.’
The
report was sent to PMO. Did the prime minister/government consult CAG
and
appoint an international auditor? Who should be blamed
for not taking any preventive
step to stop the revenue loss, though cautioned repeatedly by CPI(M)
MPs, AP chief
minister and even the cabinet secretary? Where should the buck stop?
GAS PRICING
FORMULA
What did the
cabinet secretary’s
report say regarding the pricing formula offered by RIL as per which
the
“well-head” price (i.e. the price at the production point) was 4.33
dollar per
barrel and the delivered price at the user end would be 4.76 to 5.98
dollar
without taxes? It reportedly said “the RIL formula may be taken up for
approval
only after a policy is put in place. Prima
facie the formula appears to suffer from several infirmities in
respect of
the formula employed and the bidding process.”
The above was
based on the
presentations by the ministry of fertilizers and NTPC/ministry of
power, which
specifically stated:
·
RIL price formula is flawed;
·
A delivery price beyond 5
dollar/unit will be prohibitive for fertilizer sector and every
increase of 1
dollar will involve an additional Rs 2000 crore subsidy;
·
Gas price beyond 2.34 dollar will
be prohibitive for power sector;
·
Pricing should be fixed by Petroleum
& Natural Gas Regulatory Board after amendment in the Act;
·
It was not prudent to fix a price
which will jeoparadise the NTPC's case wherein price of 2.34 dollar was
arrived
at after International Competitive Bidding.”
Not only
that, the chairman
& managing director of NTPC in a letter dated 24.8.2007 wrote to
the chairman
of EGoM:
“In
continuation of the presentation I made on the gas pricing issue of
Reliance
Industries Limited for KG Basin with particular reference to NTPC
contract, I
would like to convey that implication of the price differential between
gas
price as delivered at Kawas/Gandhar as per NTPC Contract and RIL's
proposed
price, will be of the order of Rs 24,000 crore for the quantity
contracted by
NTPC during the entire contract period of 17 years. This aspect may
also please
be kept in view.”
Inspite of
the above, the EGoM
approved the price formula in a great haste on 12.9.2007 though the
production
of KG gas started only from 1.4.2009. The rate was slightly reduced
from 4.33
dollar to 4.2 dollar/unit. Why this hurry when there were serious
question
marks on development cost, pricing formula, loss to NTPC, financial
impact on
fertilizer and power production? Who is answerable to the parliament on
an
issue concerning three ministries viz Petroleum & Natural Gas,
Power and
Fertilizer? A minister or a Group of Ministers or the prime minister?
WHY
EGoM?
As outlined
at the outset,
gas pricing was mostly based on cost plus reasonable profit basis as
per APM
and there was no sacrosanct formula for pricing for non APM gas
produced by private
sector, which covered very small volumes before KG basin gas. Keeping
this in
perspective the
"Integrated Energy Policy" document of August 2006, prepared by the
Planning Commission, recommended:
"As
long as there
is shortage of natural gas in the country and the two major users of
gas,
namely fertilizer and power, work in a regulated cost plus environment,
a competitive
market determined price would be highly distorted. The prevailing
regime of
fertilizer subsidies & power sector subsidies would further amplify
such
distortions and cross subsides. In such a situation price of domestic
natural
gas and its allocation should be independently regulated on a cost plus
basis including
reasonable returns."
The prime
minister is the chairman
of the Planning Commission and there was a
gas shortage in 2007 which continues till date. Then
who decided to
overrule the Planning Commission recommendation for “Cost Plus” pricing
and
went for a distorted market determined price through a fast-track EGoM?
And finally
what was the
rationale for forming an EGoM headed by external affairs minister to
fix gas
price when Energy Co-ordination Committee (ECC) headed by the prime
minister
and comprising ministers of Finance, Petroleum & Natural Gas,
Power, Coal, deputy
chairman of Planning Commission, chairman of Economic Advisory Council
to PM,
with principal secretary to PM as convener was already in place since
July
2005. Need for rational pricing to promote inter fuel substitutions (in
this
case gas, coal and oil) is one of major issues before ECC. Still, why a
separate EGoM? Is it a case of shirking responsibility or of willfully
insulating oneself from another ‘G’ series scam? Who will answer?
Obviously not
Jaipal Reddy, Deora, Sibal or Digvijay Singh. WHERE DOES THE BUCK
STOP?