People's Democracy(Weekly Organ of the Communist Party of India (Marxist) |
Vol.
XXXI
No. 16 April 22, 2007 |
THE
present scenario in the banking sector confirms the worst fears expressed by the
critiques of liberalisation, including the organised trade union movement in the
banking industry like the Bank Employees Federation of India (BEFI). They had
warned about the shift in the banking policy towards ‘class banking’ from
the lauded concept of ‘mass banking’ and its consequent fall-out in pushing
people out of whatever little institutional banking coverage they enjoyed since
the days of nationalisation of banks.
We
may remember that the proponents of so-called liberalisation, including
Narasimham of the famous ‘Narasimham Committee - I and II’ at that time made
a vaunted claim that the policy of financial sector liberalisation, as part of
empowering the process of liberalisation, privatisation and globalisation (LPG)
in the economy, would help in releasing the animal spirit of entrepreneurship in
the country. While painting a rosy picture like this, they had also claimed that
the banking industry in India, instead of being confined within the four walls
of the brick-and-mortar structure of the public sector banks, would land at the
doorstep of the ‘aam admi’ (commoners) through a policy of more inclusive
capitalist growth strategy bordering on the principles of laissez
faire. We were persuaded to forget the historic significance of Comrade
Lenin’s teachings that in the age of imperialism, competitive capitalism gave
way to monopoly, “…. The
concentration of production; the monopolies arising there from; the merging or
coalescence of the banks with industry – such is the history of the rise of
finance capital and such is the content of that concept…” (‘Imperialism,
The Highest Stage Of Capitalism’, V I Lenin). But, alas, just within a span of a decade and half of
implementation of the LPG policies, there is a groundswell of opposition from
the vast majorities of people – backed up by powerful working class movement
– in different countries rejecting the essence of this disastrous policy at
the hustings. Now the proponents of LPG are mouthing the words like ‘inclusive
growth’, ‘growth with equity’, ‘financial inclusion’ in order to
arrest the people’s growing disillusionment about the mode of capitalist
accumulation in the age of finance capital. However, even after being aware of
the real motive of these policy makers to mask the ugly face of capitalist
exploitation in the age of neo-liberal economy by giving such slogans of
‘inclusiveness’, the organised trade union movement in the country,
particularly of bank employees, must recognise the immense importance of allying
themselves with the masses by translating into reality whatever little scope
exists to turn the system in favour of the common people.
FINANCIAL
EXCLUSION THROUGH REFORMS
There
was little doubt that given the basic nature of growth of neo-liberal economy,
firmly rooted in a structure of elitism, financial sector reforms would only
strengthen the deeply entrenched bias against anything called ‘mass banking’
or ‘cross subsidisation’. The net result of this basically inequitable
growth strategy completely debunks the claims of market fundamentalists about
the efficiency of uncontrolled market forces to allocate resources (read credit)
in every sectors of economy in dire need of funds. The accompanying tables
capture the picture of havoc wrought by the financial sector reforms since 1991
in obliterating to a significant degree the gains of nationalisation of banks.
Table:
1
Relative
share of borrowing of cultivator households (per cent)
Sources
of credit |
1951 |
1961 |
1971 |
1981 |
1991 |
2002 |
Non-institutional (Money
lenders)
|
92.7 69.7 |
81.3 49.2 |
68.3 36.1 |
36.8 16.1 |
30.6 17.5 |
38.9 26.8 |
Institutional (Cooperative
societies, etc) Commercial
banks Unspecified |
7.3 3.3 0.9 - |
18.7 2.6 0.6 - |
31.7 22.0 2.4 - |
63.2 29.8 28.8 - |
66.3 30.0 35.2 3.1 |
61.1 30.2 26.3 |
Total |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
(Source:
AIDIS, 2002, NSSO, 59th Round, 2003 as quoted in a paper titled ‘Economic
Growth, Financial Deepening and Financial Inclusion’ by Dr Rakesh Mohan,
Deputy Governor, RBI placed at the Annual Bankers’ Conference, 2006, at
Hyderabad on November 3, 2006)
So,
it is seen that the stranglehold of the rural money lenders, which was
progressively brought down from 69.7 per cent in 1951 to 16.1 per cent
in 1981 and to 17.5 per cent in 1991 in the relative share of borrowings
by the cultivator households, has leap-frogged again to 26.8 per cent in 2002 as
per the All India Debt and Investment Survey (AIDIS), 2002. As a percentage of
borrowings of cultivator households, non-institutional sources have increased
from 30.6 per cent in 1991 to 38.9 per cent in 2002, whereas, borrowings from
institutional sources have decreased from 66.3 per cent in 1991 to 61.1 per cent
in 2002. It is to be noted that almost in the same period in the last decade,
the rate of agricultural growth has slowed down, particularly in the arena of
food-grains production, with production of cereals, pulses and oilseeds
suffering a significant fall. This, coupled with the policy of the government of
India to allow unbridled imports by even lowering the average tariff well below
WTO stipulation, has pushed Indian farmers on a ruinous course forcing them to
commit suicides in large numbers in at least 31 districts in five states. The
problem on the farm front in the country is aptly reflected in the data provided
by the National Commission on Farmers (NCF) in its fifth and final report.
It says that the average monthly income of
farmer household has become only Rs 2115, which does not cover the average per
capita monthly consumption expenditure of Rs 2770. Households with landholding
of 4 hectare and above alone have a surplus of income over expenditure.
This
situation is further aggravated by the problem of financial exclusion in the
form of outright crash of rural credit-deposit ratio, plunge in the number of
small borrowers’ accounts of less than Rs 25,000, closure of rural bank
branches, increasing concentration of banking business in the top 100 deposit
centres of the country etc. A part of the above pathetic decline in outreach of
formal banking structure is aptly captured in the accompanying tables number 2
and 3.
Table
2 reveals that with the sole exception of Northern and Western Rural Region
(which recorded only insignificant increases in the rural credit-deposit ratio),
all other rural regions suffered badly. Among the representative states, rural
West Bengal, Tripura, Madhya Pradesh saw drastic cuts signifying a growing trend
of financial exclusion.
Table:
2
Credit-Deposit
Ratio in the Rural Areas (per cent)
Region |
March
2004 |
March
1994 |
Net
result |
Northern Of
which Punjab |
40.2 46.0 |
39.4 44.6 |
(+)
0.8 (+)
1.4 |
North-Eastern Of
which Tripura
|
33.8 35.1 |
50.6 86.3 |
(-)
16.8 (-)
51.2 |
Eastern Of
which West
Bengal |
31.3 28.4 |
48.6 43.2 |
(-)
17.3 (-)
14.8 |
Central
Of
which Madhya
Pradesh |
35.7 53.0 |
41.6 56.2 |
(-)
5.9 (-)
3.2 |
Western Of
which Maharashtra |
47.0 76.5 |
46.9 59.3 |
(+)
0.1 (+)
17.2 |
Southern Of
which Kerala |
71.7 58.1 |
75.9 54.2 |
(-)
4.2 (+)
3.9 |
All
India |
43.7 |
50.0 |
(-)
6.3 |
(Source:
Extracted from Table No 5, published along with “Metamorphic Changes in the
Financial System”, EPW Research Foundation, EPW, March 19, 2005, p. 1273)
Table:
3
Regional
Level Indicators of Scheduled Commercial Banks (Population per office)
Region |
Total |
Rural |
||
1991 |
2005 |
1991 |
2005 |
|
Northern |
11002 |
12257 |
10771 |
13043 |
North-Eastern |
16870 |
26227 |
16335 |
22158 |
Eastern |
16441 |
19913 |
16402 |
21208 |
Central |
15786 |
19518 |
15153 |
20264 |
Western |
12771 |
14618 |
12579 |
15526 |
Southern |
11932 |
12328 |
11276 |
12372 |
All
India |
13711 |
15680 |
13462 |
16650 |
(Source:
Extracted from Table: 6, published along with a paper titled “Economic Growth,
Financial Deepening and Financial Inclusion” by Dr Rakesh Mohan, Deputy
Governor, RBI placed at the Annual Bankers’ Conference, 2006, at Hyderabad on
Nov 3, 2006)
Expectedly,
the logic of operation of finance capital ensured that the growing trend of
financial exclusion for the masses as exhibited in the accompanying tables was
associated with the diversion of credit to the speculative sectors, leading to
financial bubbles as reflected in stock market and real estate booms. This tends
to implant the seeds of subsequent strain on the financial system endangering
financial stability. The repeated incidents of scam in the stock market in the
decade of 1990s and early 2000 corroborate this trend. Interestingly, Bank for
International Settlements (BIS)-dictated BASEL I norms of allotting capital
based on perceived risk weights has accentuated the problem of financial
exclusion. BIS recommendation for risk weight for claims on Non-OECD
institutions with a residual maturity of less than and up to one year is 20 per
cent, whereas, claims of over one year have a recommended risk weight of 100 per
cent. Clearly, for international banks, this makes short-term lending to banks
outside the OECD region more profitable than long-term lending. This particular
stipulation has been kept unchanged in the BASEL II norms. As Indian banks are
too eager to follow in the foot-steps of international banks in subscribing to
the norms of BASEL I and II, the trend is likely to aggravate a further move of
concentration of finance in favour of short-term speculative lending, signifying
further financial exclusion. In this situation came the verdict of the
country’s general election in 2004, rightly perceived as a watershed, forcing
the policy makers to rethink their strategy, especially because of the crucial
influence of the Left at the centre.
(To
be continued)