People's Democracy(Weekly Organ of the Communist Party of India (Marxist) |
Vol.
XXVIII
No. 31 August 01, 2004 |
ON
July 26, hapless depositors in “new-generation” Global Trust Bank (GTB)
discovered from the tickers at the bottom of their television screens that their
money was no longer their own – at least for the next three months. The RBI
had put a moratorium on withdrawals exceeding a total of Rs 10,000 by depositors
and on lending by a bank which in any case had no own funds to base its lending
on.
What
followed was chaos – at the premises of the bank, at its ATMs and at the
offices of those who were thought to be responsible and could offer a solution.
This, of course, was not the first time such a situation had arisen. Since the
launch of financial liberalisation in the early 1990s a string of banks – the
United Industrial Bank, Benares Bank, Nedungadi Bank, Bank of Karad and a host
of cooperative banks – have had to down shutters with aftershocks of varying
intensity. But excepting for Nedungadi Bank, which though older, shared many
similarities with Global Trust, these failures have been dismissed as the result
of the special characteristics of these particularly weak banks or the result of
inadequate supervision of institutions such as the cooperative banks.
FEATURES OF GTB
The
most striking feature of GTB is that it epitomises the new generation private
bank that came with the financial liberalisation of the 1990s.
These were the banks which were being offered permission to enter the industry
with the intention of increasing competition, improving efficiency of operations
with new technology, offering better services to the customer, and in the
process helping improve the practices of the ostensibly inefficient, slothful
and low-profit public sector banks.
GTB was established in 1994 by Ramesh Gelli, a high profile public sector banker who fancied himself as being among the top and most innovative bankers in the country. Gelli who was the Chairman and Managing Director of Vysya Bank at the time when the government chose to permit the entry of new private banks into the banking sector, not only staked a claim for licence but worked out innovative schemes to finance its operations. For example, interest and repayment on credit for operations from shareholders were reportedly linked to the market price of the share. The higher the market price of the shares the lower the interest rate and lower the market price higher the interest rate, with the variation being from zero to 22 per cent.
From
the point of view of the creditors this implied that they were obtaining an
assured return from the combination of their investments in equity purchases and
the provision of credit. From the point of view of the promoters of the bank,
they were offering investors an assured return which gave them access to funds
and could deliver profits so long as share prices could be kept at high levels
and therefore the cost of funds remained low. To any observer it should be clear
that in a situation of this kind there would be an obvious incentive for
promoters to keep share prices high, either by manipulating accounts or rigging
the market if necessary. On the other hand the poorer is the price performance
of the share, the greater would be the pressure to lend to risky projects to
earn the high returns that helped meet the high cost of funds.
RISKY OPERATIONS & CHANCES OF FAILURE
Operations such as these were obviously risky, and implied that the agents concerned were indulging in speculative manoeuvres in search of quick profits. Their fundamental concern was not to serve as robust and transparent intermediary earning a reasonable return, but to register rapid growth, invest in high-return but high-risk areas and earn quick and large profits.
Despite
the fact that this substantially increased the chances of failure, the RBI and
the government chose to encourage banks of this kind, which were given added
credibility because they obtained funding from institutions like the
International Finance Corporation and the World Bank which were promoting
financial liberalisation and private sector entry into the banking system.
Interestingly, the IFC and the World Bank chose to exit from their investments
in GTB, possibly because they realised that their investments were not safe if
left with GTB. But never was there a word of warning that an institution that
was created because of the policies they were pushing was displaying signs of
potential failure.
Once
GTB was created there was no stopping Gelli and his associates. The search
for high returns soon took the bank to the stock market, where its involvement
in the speculative activities associated with the Ketan Parekh scam and its high
exposure soon resulted in substantial losses. Meanwhile, the bank’s
promoters had attempted to merge the entity with the UTI bank, and in the
process the share price was sought to be rigged so that the promoters could make
a profit despite the state of the bank. By then it was clear that unless some
drastic measures were taken, the bank was heading for closure. This led to the
exit of Ramesh Gelli in 2001, but matters did not improve under the new
management. The bank, which was under instructions to clean up its balance
sheets by inducting new capital and reforming its practices reported a net
profit of Rs 40 crore and a positive net worth of Rs 400 crore at the end of the
financial year in March 2002.
MANIPULATED
FIGURES
However, the RBI soon discovered that even the certified auditors of the bank had allowed a set of manipulated numbers to be reported and that actually the bank’s net worth was negative.
This
put the RBI in hands-on mode, with monthly scrutinies besides the annual
inspection. A year later GTB reported an overall loss, but also substantial
reduction in non-performing assets, significant provisioning against loss-making
assets and an operating profit. The RBI welcomed these developments, suggesting
that under a new management the bank was on the mend. But soon
the RBI discovered that the net worth of the bank was turning worse and that it
had no capital to sustain its operations. Circumstances had ensured, despite the
forbearance of the RBI in the hope of a solution, that unless substantial new
capital was infused into the bank, there was no hope of revival.
Under
pressure from the RBI the bank soon found a international suitor in the form of
Newbridge Capital. But Newbridge’s conditions required that India’s already
lax laws on foreign investment had to be revised or violated. Reportedly
Newbridge wanted full management control as well as the right to report to the
regulator of its parent than to the RBI. If this had gone through, the victory
of international finance capital which, in collaboration with the World Bank,
the IMF and the IFC, has been pushing through the liberalisation which creates
the likes of GTB, would have been total.
BAILING OUT THE FAILED BANK
In the circumstance the RBI was left with the same option that it has resorted to in the case of other failures such as Nedungadi Bank: that of getting a public sector bank to take over the failing bank through its merger. In this case Oriental Bank of Commerce with a zero NPA record and a strong capital adequacy ration was brought in, just as Punjab National Bank had been brought in to rescue the depositors of Nedungadi Bank.
Needless
to say, these acts of bailing out through merger of banks that have failed
because of private speculation and mismanagement, results in what the economic
literature terms “moral hazard” – knowing that the government using the
public sector would step in to prevent a crisis, investors, depositors and
promoters would continue to seek high returns through risky venture. If
their speculative bid succeeds they make a huge profit; if it does not the
government would step in to bail them out. What is more, the
RBI has declared that it is not contemplating action against the promoters and
directors of the bank. Meanwhile, Gelli, who is still a shareholder and has
reportedly been remotely influencing/controlling the bank over the last three
years, is demanding that shareholders too must be paid off when the merger
occurs. Why not? Can a truly benevolent reformer avoid indirectly using tax
payers money to protect investors and speculators and not just depositors?