People's Democracy(Weekly Organ of the Communist Party of India (Marxist) |
Vol.
XXVIII
No. 08 February 22, 2004 |
The End Of Development Finance
C P Chandrasekhar
FINANCIAL
liberalisation is leading to the death of development banking in the country.
Close to two years back, on March 30, 2002, the Industrial Credit and Investment
Corporation of India (ICICI) was through a reverse merger integrated with ICICI
Bank. This was the result of a decision (announced on
October 25, 2001) by ICICI to transform itself into a “universal bank” that
would engage itself not only in traditional banking but investment banking and
other financial activities. The proposal also involved merging ICICI Personal
Financial Services Ltd and ICICI Capital Services Ltd with the bank, resulting
in the creation of a financial behemoth with assets of more than Rs 95,000 crore.
The new company was to become the first entity in India to serve as a financial
supermarket and offer almost every financial product under one roof.
DESTROYING DEVELOPMENT BANKS
Since then similar moves have been underway to transform the other two principal development finance institutions in the country, the Industrial Finance Corporation of India (IFCI), established in 1948, and the Industrial Development Bank of India (IDBI), created in 1964. In early February, finance minister Jaswant Singh, announced the government’s decision to merge the IFCI with a big public sector bank, like the Punjab National Bank. Following that decision, the IFCI board has approved the proposal, rendering itself defunct.
More
recently the Parliament has, after
debating the matter for more than a year, approved the corporatisation of the
IDBI and paved the way for its merger with a bank as well. When the bill was put
through with some difficulty in the Rajya Sabha, it appeared that the government
had provided two commitments. The first was that the it would retain a majority
stake in the entity into which the IDBI would be transformed. The
government currently has a 58.47 per cent stake in IDBI. And, second that the development finance emphasis
of the institution would be retained. But already doubts are being expressed
about the government’s willingness to stick to the first of these commitments.
And once the merger creates a universal bank as a new entity, with multiple
interests and a strong emphasis on commercial profits, it is unclear how the
second commitment can be met either.
These
developments on the development-banking front do herald a new era. An important financial
intervention adopted by almost all late-industrialising developing countries,
besides pre-emption of bank credit for specific purposes, was the creation of
special development banks with the
mandate to provide adequate, even subsidised, credit to selected industrial
establishments and the agricultural sector. According to an OECD estimate quoted
by Eshag, there were about 340 such banks operating in some 80 developing
countries in the mid-1960s. Over half these banks were state-owned and funded by
the exchequer; the remainder had a mixed ownership or were private. Mixed and
private banks were given government subsidies to enable them to earn a normal
rate of profit.
REASONS FOR THEIR CREATION
The
principal motivation for the creation of such financial institutions was to make
up for the failure of private financial agents to provide certain kinds of
credit to certain kinds of clients.
Private institutions may fail to do so because of high default risks that cannot
be covered by high enough risk premiums because such rates are not viable. In
other instances failure may be because of the unwillingness of financial agents
to take on certain kinds of risk or because anticipated returns to private
agents are much lower than the social returns in the investment concerned.
In
practice, financial intermediaries seek to tailor the demands for credit from
them with their funds by adjusting not just interest rates, but also the terms
on which credit is provided. Lending gets linked to collateral, and the nature
and quality of that collateral is adjusted according to the nature of the
borrower and supply and demand conditions in the credit market. In the event,
depending on the quantum and costs of funds available to the financial
intermediary, the market tends to ration out borrowers to differing extents. In
such circumstances, borrowers rationed out because they are considered risky may
not be the ones that are the least important from a social point of view.
These
problems can be aggravated because certain kinds of insurance markets for
dealing with risk are absent and because in some (especially,
developing-country) contexts certain kinds of long-term contracts may not just
exist. They need to be created by the state, and till such time state-backed
lending would be needed to fill the gap.
Industrial
development banks also help deal with the fact that local industrialists may not
have adequate capital to invest in capacity of the requisite scale in more
capital-intensive industries characterised by significant economies of scale.
They help promote such ventures through their lending and investment practices
and often provide technical assistance to their clients. Some development banks
are expected to focus on the small-scale industrial sector, providing them with
long-term finance and working capital at subsidised interest rates and longer
grace periods, as well as offering training and technical assistance in areas
like marketing.
Fundamentally
of course, development banking is required because social returns exceed private
returns.
This problem arises because private lenders are concerned only with the return
they receive. On the other hand, the
total return to a project includes the additional surplus (or profit) accruing
to the entrepreneur. The projects that offer the best return to the lender may
not be those with the highest total expected return. As a result good projects
get rationed out necessitating measures such as development banking or directed
credit.
THE ROLE OF DEVELOPMENT BANKS
It
must be said that development banks have played an important role in the Indian
context. In his deposition before the Parliamentary Standing Committee on
Finance (1999-2000), on September 18, 2000, the Managing Director of ICICI
stated: “disbursement by FIs constituted around fifty per cent of gross fixed
capital formation by the private corporate sector in the pre-liberalised era. If
you see the financial institutions disbursement versus bank credit to industry
right from 1951 to the last year, we see that financial institutions have
provided significantly more credit for creation of capital in industry in India.
It has grown year after year … thus, the FIs have played a pivotal role in
the development of Indian industry and have fulfilled their initial objective i.e.
to spur industrialisation in the country over the last three to four decades.”
The
corporatisation, transformation into universal banks and subsequent
privatisation of the DFIs is bound to undermine this role of theirs. The
justification for the conversion to universal banking as provided by the
Industrial Investment Bank of India (IIBI) in a written reply to the
Parliamentary Standing Committee indicates this: “Since compartmentalisation
of activities leads to greater transactions cost and inefficiency, no financial
intermediary can survive competition if it does not allow itself flexibility to
change. In the new financial environment, IIBI is of the opinion that a
financial player may be either placed naturally for resources like a commercial
bank, or may be a pure financial service provider and retailer like the NBFCs.
Still another option is to build a financial supermarket where all the services
are available under a single umbrella. The advantages are that they would be
free to choose the product mix of their operations and configure activities for
optimum allocation of their resources.”
The
CEO of ICICI made clear what this means in terms of emphasis: “When we were
set up, our role was to meet long term resource requirements of the industry.
With liberalisation the role has slightly changed. It became developing
India’s debt market, financing India’s infrastructure development, etc. With
globalisation, I think, the role is set to change further. Now we have to stress
on profitability, shareholder value, corporate governance, while at the same
time not losing sight of our goals – the goals that were originally set for us
– and the goals that were set up in the interim with liberalisation.”
Unfortunately, the emphasis on those goals would remain
only with regulation. But regulation is diluted by liberalisation.
IMPACT
OF LIBERALISATION
There
is another way in which the gradual dissolution of the core of India’s
development banking infrastructure is related to the process of liberalisation.
This was the effects of liberalisation on the profitability of an institution
like the IFCI, for example. According to the D
Basu Expert Committee, which was appointed by IFCI's governing board to examine
the causes of the large NPAs accumulated by the institution and suggest a
restructuring, immediately following its corporatisation and initial public
offering in 1993, IFCI embarked upon a programme of rapid expansion of business.
To scale up the volume of business it increasingly raised resources from the
debt markets. This was at a time when interest rates were relatively high. In
order to cover the high cost borrowings, the institution was forced to make
investments in what were considered high yielding loan assets.
Unfortunately,
this occurred at a time when financial liberalisation had put an end to the
traditional consortium mode of lending, in which all major financial
institutions collaborated in lending to a single borrower as per a mutually
agreed pattern of sharing. Liberalisation was introducing an element of
competition among financial institutions. In the event, in search of high
returns IFCI chose to take relatively large exposures in several greenfield
projects (notably in the steel and oil sectors).
For
a number of reasons these projects did not deliver on their promise. Many of
these projects had expected to raise substantial equity from the capital market
as well as from the internal resources of group companies. Depressed conditions
in the capital market put paid to the first. Recessionary conditions limited the
second. Many of these groups were in the traditional commodity sectors such as
iron and steel, textiles, synthetic fibres, cement, sugar, basic chemicals,
synthetic resins, plastics, etc. Besides the general recessionary environment,
some of these sectors were particularly affected by the abolition of import
controls and the gradual reduction of tariffs. Internal resource generation,
therefore, fell short of expectations. As a result, with inadequate
own-financing, in the pipeline many of these projects suffered from cost- and
time-overruns.
Unlike
other financial institutions, IFCI had not diversified into other types of
businesses. Project finance still accounted for 94 per cent of IFCI's business
assets. As a result, the impact of NPAs arising from the factors cited above was
the greater in the case of IFCI than in the case of other institutions. In
addition, there was sharp rise in IFCI's gross NPA level in 1998-99 (Rs 5,783.56
crore as against Rs 4,159.84 crore in the previous year) as a result of the
implementation of the mandatory Reserve Bank of India guidelines for classifying
non-performing assets. As a result, certain loans, particularly those relating
to projects under implementation, which had been treated as performing assets in
earlier years, had to be classified as non-performing.
The
Basu Committee had noted that some of the factors referred to above such as
impact of trade policy liberalisation and tariff reduction, recessionary
conditions in the late 1990s, depressed conditions in the capital market, etc,
affected other DFIs and banks as well. However, the impact was particularly
pronounced in the case of IFCI, as the concentration of risk relative to net
worth was much higher. Also, as already stated, other DFIs had started
diversifying into non-project related lending and business. It was difficult to
survive as a development finance institution in the new environment.
Thus
the decline of development finance is clearly related to the process of economic
liberalisation.
However, as a number of industry associations have noted in recent times, it
hardly is true that in a time of growing competition for Indian firms from
international business and a growing liberalisation-induced shift in the
investment and lending practices of banks and NBFCs away from manufacturing,
state support for domestic private investment is not relevant. But given the
ethos of liberalisation this does not seem to matter.