People's Democracy(Weekly Organ of the Communist Party of India (Marxist) |
Vol.
XXVIII
No. 02 January 11, 2004 |
IT is now widely recognised that access to credit is critical for cultivators operating in a market setting. Nevertheless, before the nationalisation of banks, key sectors of the economy including agriculture remained thoroughly neglected in terms of availability of institutional credit. Whereas the industrial sector at that time accounted for about 15 per cent of national output, it appropriated two-thirds of commercial bank credit, whereas the agricultural sector contributing about half of national output was almost completely neglected by the commercial banks.
One
of the most important objectives of government policy since the nationalisation
of 14 commercial banks in 1969, was to extend and expand credit not only to
those sectors which were of crucial importance in terms of their contribution to
national income and employment, but also to those sectors which had been
severely neglected in terms of access to institutional credit.
The sectors that were initially identified for this purpose were
agriculture, small industry and self-employment.
These sectors were to be accorded priority status in credit allocation by
the banks.
As
a consequence, policies such as interest rate controls and pre-emption of
resources through directed credit programmes aimed at agriculture and the small
scale sector increased in magnitude during this period. There was also a
concerted effort at substantially expanding the reach of the banking system,
especially to the rural areas. The success of policy in terms of branch
expansion, mobilisation of household savings, diversification of lending targets
and direction of credit to the priority sector was substantial.
NARASIMHAM
Yet,
by the late 1980s the banking sector in India was faced with criticism of a
completely different kind. The focus of that criticism was the low
profitability, low capital base, high non-performing assets and the ostensible
“inefficiency” of and lack of transparency in the banking system. Such
criticism constituted the point of departure of the Committee on the Financial
System (CFS) under the chairmanship of M Narasimham established in 1991 to pave
the way for the liberalisation of banking practices.
Among other things, this Committee recommended a reconsideration of the policy of directed investments and directed credit programmes, as well as the interest rate structure pertaining to these. Thus it suggested that priority sector credit as hitherto defined should be phased out. It also recommended that the concept of priority sector itself be re-defined to target only the truly needy, viz. the small farmer and the tiny sector in industry and that the credit to this redefined priority sector should be only 10 per cent of total bank credit.
On
interest rates, the Committee suggested that the complex system of administered
interest rates be dismantled in a phased manner and that there should be greater
reliance on the market mechanism so that interest rates could be allowed to
perform, in a greater measure, their allocative function.
As
the erosion of profitability was not only due to factors operating on the income
side, but also on the side of expenditure of banks, the committee wished that
without prejudice to the availability of banking facilities especially in the
rural areas there should be a reconsideration of the future of unremunerative
branches. In the Committee’s
view, judgement relating to future expansion of branches should primarily be
left to banks themselves and accordingly branch licensing by the Reserve Bank
should be abolished.
When
recommending financial liberalisation as a solution to the “problem” of low
profitability, there was the immediate problem of dealing with the existing
large element of non-performing assets in banks’ portfolio. Subjecting banks
that had hitherto functioned under a completely different discipline to
market-based competition and the threat of closure would have amounted to
discrimination vis-à-vis new entrants with adequate resources.
The
Narasimham Committee coined a new definition of NPAs (non-performing assets, or
those loans that are not likely to be returned) that was in conformity with
international practice. From 1991-92, banks had to classify their advances into
four groups such as (i) standard assets; (ii) sub-standard assets; (iii)
doubtful assets and (iv) loss assets, and indicated that the advances classified
under the last three groups were to be considered as NPAs.
NON-PERFORMING
The
proportion of total NPAs to total advances of public sector banks declined from
23.2 per cent in March, 1993 to 12.4 per cent in March, 2001. The sharp decline
in NPAs of public sector banks during 1996-97 was really due to a definitional
change. RBI introduced a new concept of “net NPAs” in 1996-97 in
place of gross NPAs followed by it earlier.
This was derived by deducting various items, including “total
provisions held”, exclusion of which conceals the gross damage caused by the
NPAs on the banks.
The
share of the priority sector in total NPAs for public sector banks decreased
until 2000, even though the proportion of total NPAs accounted for by the
priority sector was inflated by the new method of calculating net NPAs.
Subsequently it has increased, but this has been due to the broader scope of
priority sector lending, which now includes many other areas, as explained
below.
Also,
NPAs resulting from small advances (i.e. where outstanding bank loans amounts to
Rs 25,000 or less) have been declining and that too quite sharply in relative
terms. The recovery performance of
direct agricultural advances had been improving, especially in the first half of
the 1990s. According to the RBI,
the recovery performance of direct agricultural advances had increased from 54.1
per cent in 1992 to 59.6 per cent in 1995.
The
policies initiated by the RBI, which implicitly treat agricultural advances as
prone to result in NPAs should be viewed against this backdrop. An informal
working group set up by the RBI in 1992-93 to consider any required relaxation
in the implementation of new prudential norms had recommended that in the case
of advances granted for agricultural purposes, banks should adopt the
agricultural season as the basis for treatment of NPAs. Accordingly, it was
decided that any agricultural advance should be treated as NPA only when
interest/instalment is not paid continuously for two half-years, synchronising
with the harvest.
This
decision was reversed in April 1997 when the RBI advised the banks to reduce the
interest overdue period of two half-years in the case of agricultural advances,
to two quarters i.e. from 12 months to six months, from 1997-98 onwards.
This was bound to accelerate the process of agricultural loans getting
increasingly classified as NPAs and negate the effect of the continuous increase
in the recovery performance of agricultural loans.
However,
the argument of high NPAs was used to encourage banks to cut back on lending to
the priority sector. Among the directed credit programmes followed by the banks,
priority sector lending has been perhaps one of the most effective. In 1969,
banks provided only 14.6 per cent of their total credit to the priority sectors,
with the percentage of credit disbursed to agriculture being only 5.4 per cent.
In 1991, 40.9 per cent of net bank credit was advanced to priority
sectors, and total credit to agriculture, even though remaining below the
prescribed level of 18 per cent, was 16.4 per cent by 1991.
Unfortunately,
since 1991, there has been a reversal of the trends in the ratio of directed
credit to total bank credit and the proportion thereof going to the agricultural
sector, even though there has been no known formal decision by government on
this score.
At the same time, serious attempts have been made in recent years to
dilute the norms of whatever remains of priority sector bank lending.
As
mentioned earlier, the Committee on the Financial System (CFS) recommended phasing out of
the bulk of priority sector targeting by the banks.
The changes recommended by the committee in the field of priority sector
lending were as follows:
a)
The directed credit programmes should cover a redefined priority sector
consisting of small and marginal farmers, the tiny sector of industry, small
business and transport operators, village and cottage industries, rural artisans
and other weaker sections.
b)
Credit targets for this redefined priority sector should be fixed at 10
per cent of aggregate bank credit.
c)
Stipulations of concessional interest to the redefined priority sector
should be reviewed with a view to its eventual elimination, in about three
years.
d) A review should be undertaken at the end of three years to see whether the directed credit programmes need to be continued.
While
the recommendations of the Narasimham Committee on priority sector lending were
not completely accepted, various policy measures, aimed at diluting the norms of
priority sector lending were adopted, so as to ensure its gradual phase-out in
the future.
While
the authorities have allowed the target for priority sector lending to remain
untouched, they have widened its coverage.
At the same time, shortfalls relative to targets have been overlooked.
In agriculture, both direct and indirect advances to agriculture were
clubbed together for meeting the agricultural sub-target of 18 per cent in 1993,
subject to the stipulation however that “indirect” lending to agriculture
must not exceed one-fourth of that lending sub-target or 4.5 per cent of net
bank credit.
NEGLECTING AGRICULTURAL CREDIT
It
was also decided to include indirect agricultural advances exceeding 4.5 per
cent of net bank credit into the overall target of 40 per cent.
The definition of priority sector itself was also widened to include
financing and distribution of inputs for agriculture and allied sectors (dairy,
poultry, livestock rearing) with the ceiling raised to Rs. 5 lakh initially and
Rs 15 lakh subsequently. The scope of direct agricultural advances under
priority sector lending was widened so as to include all short-term advances to
traditional plantations including tea, coffee, rubber, and spices, irrespective
of the size of the holdings.
Apart
from this, there were also totally new areas under the umbrella of priority
sector for the purpose of bank lending. This
meant that banks defaulting in meeting the priority sector sub-target of 18 per
cent of net credit to agriculture, would make good the deficiency by
contributing to various other institutions such as the Rural Infrastructure
Development Fund of NABARD. They could also make investments in special bonds
issued by institutions like State Financial Corporations and treat such
investments as priority sector advances.
The
changes thus made in the policy guidelines on the subject of priority sector
lending were obviously meant to enable the banks to move away from the
responsibility of directly lending to the priority sectors of the economy. It is
in the light of this that the trends in priority sector lending during the post
liberalisation period of 1991-2001 should be understood.
Priority
sector lending as a proportion of net bank credit, after reaching the target of
40 per cent in 1991, had been continuously falling short of target till 1996. It
has subsequently been in excess of the target for the reasons specified above,
and stood at 43 per cent in 2001, which was mainly due to the inclusion of funds
provided to Regional Rural Banks by their sponsoring banks, that were eligible
to be treated as priority sector advances.
Advances to agriculture also declined from 16.4 per cent in 1991 to 15.3
per cent in 2002, well below the target of 18 per cent of net bank credit. In
the year ending March 2003, direct agricultural advances amounted to only 10.8
per cent of net public sector bank credit.
The
fall in the ratio of priority sector lending to deposits from 26.6 per cent in
1991 to 22.8 per cent in 2001 was partly due to the decline in the overall
credit-deposit ratio of banks and partly due to the decline in the ratio of
priority sector advances to total bank credit.
Private
banks in general and foreign banks in particular have been lax in meeting
regulatory norms. The sector most affected was agriculture, in whose case
private bank lending amounted to just 10.8 per cent of net credit, which was far
short of the stipulated 18 per cent in the year ending March 2003. Direct
agricultural advances were only 6.3 per cent of net private sector bank credit.
Within
the private sector, the foreign banks were the major defaulters. According to
the annual report of RBI, the advances of foreign banks to the priority sector
were only 34 per cent of net credit in the year ending March 2003.
Here again, agriculture was the prime area of neglect.
Foreign banks’ performance on credit to the small scale industries and
export sectors was much better, with lending to these sectors accounting for 9
and 19 per cent, respectively, of the net bank credit against the sub-sectoral
targets of 10 per cent and 12 per cent.
Clearly,
even to the extent that priority-sector lending targets had been met, the choice
was in favour of the more cost effective and profitable sectors. Overall, nearly
60 per cent of the priority sector lending by foreign banks was directed towards
export credit.
The
difficulty is that, faced with the demands made on them by the advocates of
liberalisation and the effects of competition from the private sector banks,
banks in the public sector are also being forced to change. They are trying to
trim operating expenses, by reducing the wage bill by reducing employment
through retrenchment under the VRS scheme and computerisation. They are also
seeking to reduce costs by limiting branch expansion and reducing the number of
bank branches.
The
latter, which affects the rural areas first, reduces access to credit in rural
areas that were well-served by the post-nationalisation branch expansion drive,
and worsens the tendency towards reduced provision of credit to the agricultural
sector.
In
consequence of all this, the formal credit squeeze upon Indian agriculture is
now acute. This has led to severe problems of accessing working capital for
cultivators, and has also meant the revival of private moneylending in rural
areas. Such retrogression has extremely disturbing implications for
the current conditions of farmers, as well as for the future of Indian
agriculture.